potential COVID-19 treatments - versus standard of care - for COVID-19 mild to moderate pdf   xlsx method abbreviations

Outcome Relative effect 95%CI LoD Trt. better when I2 k (RCT/OBS) Bayesian probability Overall ROB Publication bias Degree of certainty Endpoint importance Published MA

efficacy endpoints 00

death D28 0.52 [0.30, 0.92]< 10%8 studies (8/-)98.8 %some concernnot evaluable moderatecrucial-
death or transfer to ICU 0.70 [0.44, 1.12]< 10%1 study (1/-)93.1 %NAnot evaluable crucial-
deaths 0.64 [0.43, 0.95]< 10%17 studies (17/-)98.7 %some concernlow moderatecrucial-
deaths (time to event analysis only) 0.64 [0.28, 1.48]< 10%3 studies (3/-)85.1 %some concernnot evaluable moderatecrucial-
clinical deterioration 0.78 [0.56, 1.10]< 123%8 studies (8/-)92.2 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
clinical improvement 1.31 [1.07, 1.60]> 146%11 studies (11/-)99.5 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (14-day) 1.17 [0.93, 1.47]> 135%9 studies (9/-)91.6 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (21-day) 2.09 [0.04, 119.96]> 10%1 study (1/-)63.7 %NAnot evaluable important-
clinical improvement (28-day) 1.47 [1.06, 2.04]> 159%4 studies (4/-)99.0 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (7-day) 1.41 [1.11, 1.78]> 147%7 studies (7/-)99.8 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (time to event analysis only) 1.27 [1.03, 1.56]> 160%6 studies (6/-)98.7 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
death or ventilation 0.59 [0.34, 1.02]< 10%1 study (1/-)97.0 %NAnot evaluable important-
hospital discharge 1.26 [0.70, 2.25]> 172%3 studies (3/-)77.9 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
mechanical ventilation 0.71 [0.35, 1.42]< 147%8 studies (8/-)83.6 %some concernserious moderateimportant-
mechanical ventilation (time to event analysis only) 0.06 [0.01, 0.83]< 10%1 study (1/-)98.2 %NAnot evaluable important-
radiologic improvement (14-day) 1.82 [0.95, 3.51]> 139%4 studies (4/-)96.4 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
radiologic improvement (7-day) 0.09 [0.01, 0.78]> 10%2 studies (2/-)1.5 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
viral clearance 1.92 [1.32, 2.81]> 150%9 studies (9/-)100.0 %some concernserious moderateimportant-
viral clearance (time to event analysis only) 1.32 [1.03, 1.69]> 10%2 studies (2/-)98.6 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
viral clearance by day 14 0.81 [0.10, 6.83]> 195%7 studies (7/-)42.2 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
viral clearance by day 7 1.51 [0.89, 2.55]> 163%7 studies (7/-)93.8 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
ICU admission 0.98 [0.69, 1.39]< 10%4 studies (4/-)54.5 %some concernnot evaluable moderatenon important-
recovery 1.15 [0.99, 1.33]> 10%2 studies (2/-)96.4 %some concernnot evaluable moderatenon important-

safety endpoints 00

serious adverse events 0.72 [0.45, 1.16]< 10%11 studies (11/-)91.0 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
acute kidney injury 1.18 [0.44, 3.18]< 10%1 study (1/-)37.2 %NAnot evaluable non important-
adverse events 1.61 [1.24, 2.10]< 146%12 studies (12/-)0.0 %some concernlow moderatenon important-
arrhythmia 2.24 [0.23, 21.69]< 10%1 study (1/-)24.5 %NAnot evaluable non important-
elevated liver enzymes 3.48 [1.40, 8.64]< 10%1 study (1/-)0.4 %NAnot evaluable non important-
long QT 9.79 [1.27, 75.50]< 10%1 study (1/-)1.5 %NAnot evaluable non important-
renal impairment 1.35 [0.47, 3.86]< 10%1 study (1/-)28.8 %NAnot evaluable non important-

AE of interest endpoints 00

Thromboembolic events 0.89 [0.31, 2.55]< 10%1 study (1/-)58.6 %NAnot evaluable non important-

LoD: level of statistical demonstration: Statistically conclusive: statistically significant with a strict control of overall risk of type 1 error (statistically demonstrated), does not take into account the risk of bias; suggested: nominally statistically significant but without a strict control of overall risk of type 1 error; inconclusive: not nominally statistically significant; safety concerns;
Bayesian probability: Bayesian posterior probability of treatment effect (computed with a noninformative prior); ROB: risk of bias; k: number of studies; published MA: number of published meta-analysis on the same topic; degree of certainty adapted from GRADE. Trt. better when: indicates when the relative treatment effect shows that the studied treatment is better than control.